The Oscars are the most illustrious award show of the year for those that work in film. It is a night of glitz and glamour, high fashion and recognition for months — sometimes years — of hard work. But, if you strip away shiny veneer of this awards show, you can see it for what it truly is: A fierce, all out grudge match for a year’s worth of glory! Frequent nominees like Amy Adams and Leonardo DiCaprio and (who have been repeatedly snubbed) are ravenous for Oscar gold this year, and while their demeanor may be calm, they are mad with award lust on the inside. A weaker sense of that desire exists in the hearts of every movie lover who put money in an Oscar pool, and we at Eventful would like to give you our educated guesses for some of the most popular categories.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

There are a lot of talented new comers in this category: Sally Hawkins, who played Cate Blanchett’s sister in Blue Jasmine; Lupita Nyong’o from 12 Years a Slave. But there’s one name in cinema that’s synonymous with awards: Jennifer Lawrence, who’s nominated for her performance in American Hustle. While she’s got some competition from legend Julia Roberts for her role in August: Osage County, we think JLaw has this one wrapped up yet again.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

This is a pretty contentious category this year. It’s filled with illustrious nominees like Jared Leto, Michael Fassbender and Bradley Cooper. Jonah Hill received a nomination for his terrific role in The Wolf of Wall Street, but the Academy tends to pass over characters that supply so much comic relief. Our bet is on Jared Leto for his role as a transgender AIDS patient in Dallas Buyers Club; not only because of his physical transformation for the part, but emotional and commanding performance in the film.

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Oscar-less (yet extremely talented) Amy Adams is up against some stiff Oscar winners this year: Cate Blanchett, Meryl Streep, Judi Dench and Sandra Bullock. While Adams was terrific in American Hustle and we hope she gets an Oscar soon, sometimes another nominee just had a better role: Like Sandra Bullocks. Her performance as stranded astronaut Ryan Stone in Gravity was tremendous, especially given the film was shot almost completely digitally.

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Given the tremendous performances given by actors this year, this category is also a tough one to call. Christian Bale showcased some tremendous character acting in American Hustle, and Bruce Dern is looking to top off an illustrious career with an Oscar for his emotional performance in Nebraska. It’s not looking likely that Leonardo DiCaprio will go home with the Oscar this year (someday, Leo), so it seems like it’s down to Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave and Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club. While both actors gave tremendous performances, we’re going to give this one to Matthew McConaughey for his emotional and physically taxing performance.

Best Picture

There are many tremendous films in the Best Picture category this year, but we think the real contenders are 12 Years a Slave, The Wolf of Wall Street, Dallas Buyers Club and Nebraska. The Wolf of Wall Street was a kinetic masterpiece from Martin Scorsesse, Dallas Buyers Club has become a modern day Philadelphia, and Nebraska gave us one of the most touching stories about a father and son in a long time. However, as a whole film, our money is on Steve McQueen’s 12 Years a Slave. The journey of Solomon Northup from a free, well-off family man, to slavery, then back to freedom again is an epic one, and not only tells the story of cruel slavery, but a life.

Be sure to watch The Oscars, hosted by the vivacious Ellen DeGeneres, this Sunday March 2nd on ABC to see how right (or maybe wrong) we were!